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Geopolitics · Regional Strategy · Brief · March 2026

The Surge

Ethiopia's Geopolitical Position and Regional Strategy: Port Access, the GERD Dividend, and the China Relationship

$118MElectricity export revenue FY2024/25
BerberaSomaliland 50-year coastal zone MoU
LAPSSETKenya corridor — renewed strategic relevance
MC14WTO accession target — 2026

About This Brief

What this brief covers.

Ethiopia's geopolitical positioning in 2026 is defined by its port access diversification strategy, the GERD power export programme generating $118 million in FY2024/25, WTO accession pursuit, and a bilateral debt restructuring with China that is essential to the OCC track's comparability of treatment principle. The country's ability to convert regional infrastructure relationships into trade competitiveness is the strategic question underlying the headline export figures.

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