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Macro Watch · June 2026
IMF 5th Review: What the Post-Election Budget Signals
Can Ethiopia's government expand social coverage while maintaining 5th Review benchmarks? The FY2026/27 budget is the first concrete test of post-election reform intent.
Sector Notes · June 2026
Agribusiness: Coffee Forecast and Oilseed Constraints
FY2025/26 coffee performance, oilseed export bottlenecks, and the ECTA direct-licensing reform — one year on from the record $2.65B coffee season.
Investor Lens · June 2026
Post-Election Investment Signal
Reading the June 1 election result for market entry timing, banking reform pace, Ethio Telecom privatisation, and the privatisation agenda under a PP supermajority.